Stocks to watch

Please keep in mind This is not investment advice!

Stocks to watch in May:

Money Markets

We saw some intriguing developments in the US money markets during March and April. Following the latest Federal Reserve press conference and the release of inflation data, the markets have adjusted their expectations, moving away from anticipating a rapid interest rate cut. The current consensus in the market is that there will be just one rate cut in 2024.
That development has put major bonds under pressure and yield rising.

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
TLT $87 Long term you can’t do anything wrong with this asset. Watch!
TMF $40 Same advise like TLT but has some leverage
IEF $91 Ishares 7-10 Year Treasury BondETF, 10 Years Bonds become interesting

Energy

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
UNG $13 Natural gaz prices are very low at the moment. Producers already moaning, how low can gas prizes fall?

Basic Materials

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
NTR $49

Industrials

In my view the Industrials are too high atm. I’m not watching something, that appear “cheap” to me.

Consumer Cyclicals

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
GT $11
NKE $87
VSCO $17 interesting if goes below

Consumer Non Cyclicals

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
WBA $17 Unfortunately, WBA shares continue to fall. However, dividends remain stable, and $17 appears to be a strong support level.

Financial

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
AGNC $9 Interesting below this. Depending overall Money Markets bonds yield.
ABR $12

Healthcare

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
CVS $67
BMY $44
GILD $65
PFE $25

Communication Services

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
WBA $7
LUMN $1.15
BCE $32

Technology

NVIDIA growth seem to be unstoppable. How ever its become interesting to watch it’s reverse moment.

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
U $22
ZM $59

Real Estate

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
WPC $52
REXR $42

Utilities

Symbol Interesting Price levels Comment
HE $9,5

Market Setup

Looking ahead, we anticipate a mix of cautious optimism amidst concerns over inflation and economic slowdown. The slowing growth in the U.S. economy, paired with inflation rates persistently above the Federal Reserve’s target, suggests that the Fed may proceed cautiously, potentially influencing future interest rate decisions. Bond yields have risen, reflecting expectations of tighter monetary policy, which could affect bond market volatility. Meanwhile, the stock market has shown resilience, particularly in the technology sector, buoyed by strong earnings. However, the broader market sentiment will likely remain cautious, influenced by upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve policy updates. Investors should stay alert to signs of economic shifts that could impact market trends.

Monetary stats

Unchanged

Rates Value (%)
Fed Funds rate (range) 5.25-5.5
EFFR 5.33
Fed Discount Rate 5.5
Prime rate 8.5

Significant economic calendar events

Date Event
Wednesday May 01 US JOLTs Job Openings (JAN) + Fed Interest Rate Decision! (Expected unchanged)
Friday March 03 Non Farm Payrolls, Unemployment rate
Wednesday May 15 US Inflation statistic
Thursday May 30 US GDP Growth Rate QoQ